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Daily Market Commentary

Discussion in 'Forex Daily News & Outlook' started by gcitrading, Apr 24, 2009.

  1. gcitrading

    gcitrading Contributing Member

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    EURO
    The euro appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.3300 figure and was supported around the US$ 1.3110 level. The common currency darted higher following some positive European data and a strong day in the U.S. equity markets on news the Obama administration is extending another US$ 2 billion in loans to General Motors. The Federal Reserve reported the recession and market turbulence have “substantially reduced” reserves at some of the nineteen largest U.S. banks, noting most banks maintain capital “well in excess” of regulatory standards. The Fed also said the government is prepared to aid U.S. banks that are experiencing problems. The Fed’s stress tests results of U.S. banks will be released on 4 May. Group of Seven officials convening this weekend will likely not announce any new actions in their communiqué and will likely not include new verbiage on exchange rate. Data released in the U.S. today saw March new home sales decline 0.6% to an annualized 356,000 rate and fall 30.6% y/y. Also, March durable goods orders were off 0.8% with the ex-transportation component off 0.6%. In eurozone news, the IMF called on the ECB to reduce rates further and “in a timely manner.” The German Ifo business confidence index improved to 83.7 in April from 82.2 in March. Many economists believe the worst may be behind the German economy but today’s print remains recessionary. Additionally, French March consumer spending was up 1.1% m/m and 0.6% y/y.
    Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.2765 level.

    JPN/CNY
    The yen appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the ¥96.65 level and was capped around the ¥98.15 level. Data released in Japan overnight saw March corporate service price index climb 0.9% m/m and decline 2.1% y/y. The Nikkei 225 stock index lost 1.57% to close at ¥8,707.99. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the ¥104.15 level. The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the yen as the single currency tested bids around the ¥127.25 level and was capped around the ¥129.25 level. The British pound moved lower vis-à-vis the yen as sterling tested bids around the ¥141.15 level while the Swiss franc moved higher vis-à-vis the yen and tested offers around the ¥85.60 level. The Chinese yuan appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8230 in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 6.8233. People’s Bank of China adviser Fan said China can still record 7-8% growth this year.

    STERLING
    The British pound depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as cable tested bids around the US$ 1.4575 level and was capped around the $1.4770 level. Chancellor of the Exchequer Darling said the markets can support the U.K. government’s planned ₤125 billion of gilts issuance this year. March retail sales were up 0.3% m/m and up 1.5% y/y and Q1 GDP were off 1.9% q/q and 4.1% y/y. Cable bids are cited around the US$ 1.4350 level. The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the British pound as the single currency tested offers around the ₤0.9080 level and was supported around the ₤0.8920 level.
     
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