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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Jan 21 2013

Discussion in 'Major Currency Crosses' started by alayoua, Jan 21, 2013.

  1. alayoua

    alayoua New Member

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    Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Jan 21 2013

    Merkel’s CDU loses Lower Saxony election; setback to her national campaign

    Angela Merkel’s ruling centre-right coalition government suffered yet another defeat on this Sunday’s local elections, in what the Financial Times defines as a controversial election in the state of Lower Saxony, according to final forecasts of German television. After early speculation that the result would be a narrow win for Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU), the Social Democratic party (SDP) and its varies Green party ties managed to gather enough votes to reach a 1 seat majority.

    Preliminary final results for Lower Saxony: CDU 36%, SPD 32,6%, FDP 9,9%, Grüne 13,7%, Linke 3,1%. SPD & Grüne coalition gets them a 1 seat majority. Other coalitions possible, yet bottom line is that CDU loses. FT: “A victory for the SPD and Greens could give a boost to their national campaign to replace Ms Merkel’s government in September. But the chancellor’s personal popularity has given the CDU a 17-point lead over the SPD in recent opinion polls.”
    http://blog.fxcc.com/forex-technical-market-analysis-january-21-2013/

    Forex Economic Calendar
    N/A | E.M.U. Eurogrup meeting
    2013-01-21 07:00 GMT | Germany. Producer Price Index (YoY) (Dec)
    2013-01-21 08:15 GMT | Switzerland. Industrial Production (YoY) (Q3)
    2013-01-21 13:30 GMT | Canada. Wholesale Sales (MoM) (Nov)

    Forex News
    2013-01-21 06:38 GMT | EUR/USD steady in Asia
    2013-01-21 05:54 GMT | EUR/GBP off 5-month highs; stalls below 0.8400
    2013-01-21 05:24 GMT | FED to continue QE purchases thru 2014 – RBS
    2013-01-21 04:02 GMT | GBP/AUD off fresh 5-month lows at 1.5060



    TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
    ----------------------------
    EURUSD

    HIGH: 1.33301 | LOW: 1.3302 | BID: 1.33226 | ASK: 1.33235 | CHANGE: 0.07% | TIME: 08:30:48

    [​IMG]

    OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
    TREND CONDITION: Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Low

    MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis
    Upwards scenario: EURUSD established next resistance at 1.3334 (R1), above which is seen possibility of uptrend formation in near –term perspective. Our bullish targets appears at 1.3356 (R2) and 1.3378 (R3). Downwards scenario: The downside remains favored direction for today. The 1.3302 (S1) would be the key support level. Decline below it might take the pair towards to eventual targets, located at 1.3282 (S2) and 1.3262 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.3334, 1.3356, 1.3378
    Support Levels: 1.3302, 1.3282, 1.3262

    -------------------
    GBPUSD

    HIGH: 1.58733 | LOW: 1.58446 | BID: 1.58718 | ASK: 1.58727 | CHANGE: -0.01% |TIME: 08:30:50

    [​IMG]

    OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
    TREND CONDITION: Down trend
    TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Low

    Upwards scenario: Instrument lost downside momentum an currently moves in correction mode. Market appreciation is possible above the resistance at 1.5884 (R1). Any upside corrections above this point will then be targeting next resistances at 1.5908 (R2) and 1.5931 (R3). Downwards scenario: Short-term bears expected to be in play below the next support level at 1.5846 (S1). Clearance of this level I required to open way towards to next targets at 1.5825 (S2) and 1.5805 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 1.5884, 1.5908, 1.5931
    Support Levels: 1.5846, 1.5525, 1.5805

    ---------------------------
    USDJPY

    HIGH: 90.245 | LOW: 89.425 | BID: 89.591 | ASK: 89.596 | CHANGE: -0.53% | TIME: 08:30:55

    [​IMG]

    OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Up
    TREND CONDITION: Downward penetration
    TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bearish
    IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Low

    Upwards scenario: Currently price deviates from its high after the clear uptrend formation on the hourly chart. Buyers have their next challenge at 89.76 (R1). Break through here would suggest next initial targets at 89.98 (R2) and 90.18 (R3).Downwards scenario: Our next support level is placed at 89.42 (S1), that buyers will try to defend. Any extension lower is being able to drive market price towards to our intraday targets at 89.24 (S2) and 89.05 (S3).

    Resistance Levels: 89.76, 89.98, 90.18
    Support Levels: 89.42, 89.24, 89.05

    Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( FX Central Clearing Ltd )
     
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