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Discussion in 'Fundamental Analysis' started by HFblogNews, Sep 2, 2014.

  1. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 2nd September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING NEAR ITS FRIDAY’S CLOSE. GERMAN FINAL GDP CAME OUT AS EXPECTED.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.3127. The final release of the GDP for the second quarter in Germany showed a contraction to -0.2 percent in line with the market expectations. The Eurozone Final Manufacturing PMI contracted to a reading of 50.7 in August. The Spanish and Italian Manufacturing PMI also recorded a drop coming at readings of 52.8 and 49.8 accordingly. Prospects of potential further sanctions by the European Union leaders against Russia also flooded the market and pressurized the single European currency.

    Data released today indicated that the Producer Price Index dropped -0.1 percent on a
    monthly basis in July.

    Investors are now looking forward for the US ISM Manufacturing PMI due later today.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.3109 and resistance is seen at 1.3191.
     
  2. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 3rd September 2014

    EURUSD GAINED IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION ON RUMORS ABOUT PERMANENT CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT BETWEEN PUTIN AND POROSHENKO.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.3132. The manufacturing activity in the United States expanded in August at the fastest rate in more than 3 years. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to a reading of 59.0 in August. The Construction Spending in the largest economy in the world also recorded a gain coming at a 1.8% in July against the market expectations of 0.9 percent rise.

    Data about permanent ceasefire in Donbas, Ukraine after a discussion between the Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and the Russian President Vladimir Putin sent the EURUSD higher and the pair is currently in the mid 1.3150’s area. Although the information has not been confirmed yet as 100 percent accurate and investors should be fully aware of a potential new wave of volatility on the market.

    Another data source indicated that the EU Commission might propose a new round of sanctions against Russia in the afternoon.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.3109 and resistance is seen at 1.3191.
     
  3. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 4th September 2014

    LOW MARKET VOLATILITY AHEAD OF THE ECB RATE DECISION AND ECB PRESS CONFERENCE.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.3149. The pair rose after reports about a possible cease-fire agreement between the Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and the Russian President Vladimir Putin. In the economic news the services sector in Germany continued to worsen in August coming at a reading 54.9. The Services PMI in the Eurozone also recorded a drop coming at a reading of 53.1 in August. The Retail Sales in the EU also dropped on a monthly basis recording a 0.4 percent drop in July. In the United States the factory orders rose 10.5 percent in July. The Fed’s Beige Book indicated that the economy in the US continued to expand at a moderate to modest pace over the summer.


    With the high impact economic releases today is the most important day of the current week for the financial markets. Investors are looking forward for the ECB Minimum Bid Rate decision, the ECB Press Conference, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data from the United States as well as the Jobless Claims report.

    Investors should be fully aware of the potential high volatility that we may witness today on the market during the time of the economic releases.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.3109 and resistance is seen at 1.3191.
     
  4. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 5th September 2014

    THE US DOLLAR CONTINUES TO BE STRONG AGAINST THE EURO AFTER THE POOR NFP REPORT RELEASED TODAY.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2943. The sharp move yesterday was caused by the unexpected decision of the European Central Bank to cut its benchmark interest rate by 10 basis points to the record low level of 0.05 percent. During the ECB Press Conference Mario Draghi also announced a new economic stimulus program that will involve purchasing of covered bonds and ABS. Draghi also cut the growth forecast of the Euro area for 2014 to 0.9 percent. He also indicated that plans for QE are still on the table.


    n the United States the positive releases also boosted the strength of the US dollar and continued to reinforce the rumors of an earlier interest rate hike. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI increased to a reading of 59.6 in August. The Trade Balance in the largest economy in the world also dropped to 40.5 billion in July marking its lowest level since January.

    Data released today indicated that the Unemployment Level in the United States dropped to 6.1 percent in August. However the NFP report was a worse than expected showing 142K new jobs created in August. Market had expected an increase of 226K. Even after the worse than expected NFP report the US dollar remained relatively strong against its European counterpart.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2923 and resistance is seen at 1.3107.
     
  5. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 8th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING NEAR THE LOWS AT THE START OF THE WEEK. EU SENTIX INVESTOR CONFIDENCE WENT IN NEGATIVE TERRITORY.


    EURUSD rose on Friday and closed at 1.2950. The Industrial Production in Germany rose 1.9 percent on a monthly basis in July. The US dollar lost some ground after the worse than expected Non-Farm Payrolls report from the United States. The NFP showed 142K new jobs created in August, but the market had expected a larger increase of 230K. On the other had the Unemployment Rate in the largest economy in the world dropped to a level of 6.1 percent in August from the previous 6.2 percent level. During the weekend the President of the United States Federal Reserve in Philadelphia stated that Fed needs to raise the interest rates sooner and with gradual steps in order to keep the US economy functioning smoothly.

    Data released today showed that the Sentix Investor Confidence in the Eurozone dropped to a reading of -9.8 in September. That’s the first time the index goes to a negative reading in more than 12 months.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2923 and resistance is seen at 1.3108.
     
  6. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 9th September 2014

    EURUSD PRINTED NEW LOWS IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION.


    EURUD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2893. The Sentix Investor Confidence Index in the Eurozone dropped to a reading of -9.8 in September. The German Trade Balance came out at a reading of 22.2B in July. The ECB Governing Council Member Ewald Nowotny stated yesterday that the recent measures that ECB took weakened the Euro and will help exporters from the EU to be more competitive on the global market. The IMG Chief Christine Lagarde stated that the weakening of the Euro against the United States dollar is a positive sign for the recovery in the Eurozone.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987
     
  7. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 10th September 2014

    EURUSD STARTED TO REVERSE ITS GAINS AHEAD OF THE US SESSION.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2936. The European Union delayed the latest planned sanctions against Russia. The ECB Governing Council Member Erkki Liikanen stated yesterday that the size of the asset-backed securities and cover bond purchases has not been decided yet. According to Liikanen the new measures should be implemented carefully due to the risk component involved. Data from the United States indicated that the NFIB Small Business Index advanced to a reading of 96.1 in August. On the other hand the JOLTS Job Openings unexpectedly dropped to 4.67M in July.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
     
  8. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 11th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING CALM AHEAD OF THE US UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA. MARIO DRAGHI’S SPEECH ON FOCUS.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2916. Data released from the Eurozone indicated that the French Industrial Production rose 0.2 percent on a monthly basis in July. The ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch stated that the recent decision of the central bank to purchase debt instruments should not be considered as an opening regarding purchases of government bonds and further indicating his opposition for the ECB to follow other major central banks with large-scale public debt purchases. Data released from the United States indicated that the Wholesale Inventories increased by 0.1 percent. Market had expected an increase of 0.5 percent.

    Investors are now looking forward for the Unemployment Claims release due from the United States. The main scheduled fundamental event for the day is the speech of the President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi at the Eurofi Financial Forum in Milan.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
     
  9. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 12th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING SIDEWAYS AT THE START OF THE EUROPEAN SESSION. US RETAIL SALES AND CONSUMER SENTIMENT DATA ON FOCUS TODAY.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2922. The German Final Consumer Price Index remained flat in August coming at a reading of 0.0 percent, while the French CPI came out at 0.4 percent during the same period. During its monthly report the European Central Bank reported that the policymakers will keep monitoring closely the outlook for the inflation in the Eurozone and would take all the needed measures to maintain the inflation target. The President of the ECB urged the leaders of the European countries to increase their level of investments in the Euro area in order to stimulate the growth of the region. The ECB Governing Council member Christian Noyer stated that even though the central bank succeeded bringing the Euro lower, it still need to take further steps of bringing it even lower in order to achieve its inflation target.

    [​IMG]

    Data from the United States indicated that the Unemployment Claims unexpectedly rose to a level of 315K during the last week.

    Investors are now looking forward for the US Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment releases due later today.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
     
  10. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 15th September 2014

    EURUSD PUSHING LOWER IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION. LIGHT ECONOMIC CALENDAR TODAY.


    EURUSD rose on Friday and closed at 1.2963. The number of unemployed people in the Eurozone rose with 0.2 percent on quarterly basis in the second quarter of 2014. On the other hand the Industrial Production in the EU rose more than the market expectation reaching 1.0 percent in July. The wholesale price index in Germany recorded a drop of 0.2 percent in August.

    Data from the United States revealed that the Michigan Consumer Sentiment rose better than expected in August to a reading of 84.6. The Retails Sales rose 0.6 percent in August in line with the market expectations.

    The week ahead will be busy with high-impact fundamental releases including the FOMC Press Conference, the Federal Funds Rate from the US, the FOMC Statement and the Scottish Independence Vote.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
     
  11. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 16th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING CALM AHEAD OF THE US PRODUCER PRICE INDEX RELEASE.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2939. The Trade Balance in the Eurozone dropped to 12.2 billion Euro in July. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) urged the European Central Bank to come up with more aggressive measure in order to cut the deflation risk in the EU. Data from the United States indicated that the Industrial Production in the largest economy in the world dropped unexpectedly on a monthly basis in August to 0.1 percent. The Capacity Utilization Rate in the US also dropped to 78.8 percent in August. On the other hand the Empire State Manufacturing Index increased to a reading of 27.5 in September marking its highest rise in 4 years.

    Data released today showed that the German ZEW Economic Sentiment rose better than expected in September to a reading of 6.9, but at the same time dropped to its December 2012 low.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2978.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
     
  12. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 17th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING IN TIGHT RANGE AFTER THE FINAL CPI RELEASE FROM THE EUROZONE. INVESTORS ARE AWAITING THE KEY FOMC EVENTS DUE LATER TODAY.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2939. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment dropped to a level of 6.9 in September. Data from the United States indicated that the Producer Price Index in the largest economy in the world remained flat in August coming at 0.0 percent on a monthly basis. The Core PPI month over month came in line with the market expectations recording a gain of 0.1 percent in August.

    The Final Consumer Price Index data from the Eurozone released today indicated that the inflation in the EU remained stable at 0.4 percent.

    The session ahead will be very busy with high impact economic released from the United States including the CPI and Core CPI month over month releases, the Federal Funds Rate and the FOMC Statement, Economic Projections and Press Conference. Investors should be fully aware of the possible high volatility during the time of the releases.

    Support for the EURUSD 1.2858 and resistance is seen at 1.2987.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  13. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 18th September 2014

    EURUSD DROPPED AFTER THE FOMC RELEASES YESTERDAY. US UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DROPPED TO A 2-MONTH LOW.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2864. The inflation in the Eurozone remained stable, but below the 2 percent of the European Central Bank. Data from the United States indicated that the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate at 0.25 percent in line with the market expectations and also reduced its asset purchase program to 15 billion USD per month. During the FOMC Press Conference the Fed Chair Janet Yellen stated that the policymakers at the Federal Reserve are in no hurry to raise the interest rates in the largest economy in the world.

    Data released today showed a drop of the Unemployment Claims in the United States to 280K during the last week which is a 2-month low level. The Building Permits and Housing Starts reports came a little worse than expected, but that might be due to the low activity in the sector in August when most of the people take their summer holiday.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2836 and resistance is seen at 1.2979.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  14. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 19th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING LOWER IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION. LIGHT ECONOMIC CALENDAR IN THE SESSION AHEAD.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2922. The European Central Bank started its Targeted LTRO program with 86.2 billion Euro. Data released from the United States revealed that the Unemployment Claims in the largest economy in the world dropped to 280K during the last week. The Building Permits and Housing Starts in the US fell more than the market expectation in August. The Philly Fed Manufacturing Index also recorded a drop to a reading of 22.5 in September. Market had expected a drop to 22.8 from the previous high of 28.0 reached in August.

    Data released earlier today indicated that the results on the Scottish Independence Referendum showed a NO vote easing the worries of a potential split between England and Scotland.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2836 and resistance is seen at 1.2924.


    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  15. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 22nd September 2014

    QUIET START OF THE EUROPEAN SESSION. ECB PRESIDENT MARIO DRAGHI SPEAKS TODAY.


    EURUSD dropped on Friday and closed at 1.2828. The Producer Price Index in Germany dropped 0.1 percent month over month in August. Data from the United States indicated that the CB Leading Index rose 0.2 percent month over month in August. Market had expected a 0.4 percent rise. The credit ratings agency Fitch Ratings affirmed the AAA rating of the United States and maintained its “stable” outlook for the US economy.

    Investors are looking ahead for the speech of the President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi on monetary policy before the European Parliament’s Economic and Monetary Policy Committee in Brussels.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2826 and resistance is seen at 1.2924.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  16. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 23rd September 2014

    EURUSD TARGETING THE 1.2900 LEVEL IN THE EUROPEAN SESSION. GERMAN MANUFACTURING SLOWS DOWN IN SEPTEMBER.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2848. The Consumer Confidence in the Eurozone fell to a reading of -11 in September marking its lowest reading since February. During his speech the President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi stated that the economic recovery in the Eurozone is lacking and added that the ECB is ready to take any unconventional measures to improve the inflation and the economic situation in the currency union. The chief economist of the European Central Bank Peter Praet, stated that the ECB is not trying to push the Euro lower to support the fragile economic recovery. Data from the United States indicated that the Existing Home Sales in the largest economy in the world reached 5.05M in August. Market had expected a rise to 5.21M.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2820 and resistance is seen at 1.2922.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  17. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 24th September 2014

    EURUSD TRADING LOWER IN THE LATE EUROPEAN SESSION. GERMAN IFO BUSINESS CLIMATE SLIPS IN SEPTEMBER.


    EURUSD rose yesterday and closed at 1.2846. The Manufacturing PMI in the largest economy in the Eurozone dropped to a reading of 50.3 in September. On the other hand the Flash Services PMI in Germany rose to a level of 55.4 in September. The Eurozone Manufacturing and Services PMI continued to drop in September. Data from the United States revealed that the Flash Manufacturing PMI remained stable at 57.9 in September. Another report indicated that the Richmond Manufacturing Index increased to a level of 14 in September against the market expectation of a drop to 10.

    Data released today indicated that the German Ifo Business Climate slipped to a reading of 104.7 in September.

    Investors are now looking forward for the New Home Sales report due from the United States.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2820 and resistance is seen at 1.2922.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  18. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 25th September 2014

    EURUSD TARGETING THE 1.2700 LEVEL AT THE START OF THE EUROPEAN SESSION.


    EURUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2779. The German Ifo Business Climate continued to fall for a 5th month in a row coming at a reading of 104.7 in September. Data from the United States showed that the New Home Sales rose sharply in August reaching 504K units. The President of the United States Federal Reserve in Chicago Charles Evans stated that the US economy has made a significant progress, but still needs the help of an extended period of time of low interest rates to help the recovery.

    At the start of the European session the pair printed new low levels and it’s currently targeting the 1.2700 level.

    Investors are now looking forward for the Unemployment Claims and Durable Goods Orders releases due from the United States.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2728 and resistance is seen at 1.2819.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  19. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 26th September 2014

    LOW VOLATILITY ON THE MARKET AHEAD OF THE US FINAL GDP REPORT. GERMAN GFK CONSUMER CLIMATE FALLS IN SEPTEMBER.


    URUSD dropped yesterday and closed at 1.2749. The President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi stated in his speech that the central bank is ready to use any unconventional measures to prevent a prolonged period of low inflation in the currency union. Data from the United States revealed that the Durable Goods Orders dropped -18.2 percent in August. On the other hand the Core Durable Goods Orders came in line with the market expectations rising 0.7 percent in the same period. The Unemployment Claims report came better, but still closer to the market expectations at a reading of 293K.

    [​IMG]

    Investors are now looking forward for the key event of the day – the Final GDP report from the United States for the 2nd quarter of 2014. Depending on the outcome of the release we may witness high volatility on the market and investors should be fully aware of it.

    Investors are now looking forward for the Unemployment Claims and Durable Goods Orders releases due from the United States.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2714 and resistance is seen at 1.2819.

    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
  20. HFblogNews

    HFblogNews Member

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    Date : 29th September 2014

    EURUSD PRINTED NEW LOWS AT THE START OF THE WEEK. LIGHT ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE SESSION AHEAD.


    EURUSD dropped on Friday and closed at 1.2682. The Gfk Consumer Confidence in Germany dropped for a fifth consecutive month to a reading of 8.3 in October. Data from the United States showed that the Final GDP rose 4.6 percent in the second quarter of 2014. The University of Michigan revised Consumer Sentiment rose to a level of 84.6 in September, market had expected a rise to 85.1.

    The top fundamental releases of the week will be the Minimum Bid Rate and the ECB Press Conference due from Europe and the US Non-farm Payrolls report.

    Support for the EURUSD is seen at 1.2667 and resistance is seen at 1.2783.



    [​IMG]

    Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing,
    an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.​
     
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