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Multibagger stock Ideas- Economic Credit approach

Discussion in 'Trading Strategies & Systems' started by nivezastock, Sep 6, 2016.

  1. nivezastock

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    #Multibagger stock ideas- Economic Credit approach

    #Nivezareview : The existing method of provisioning for credit impairment uses an ‘incurred loss’ model, which does not recognize credit loss until the loss has either occurred (IASB) or breached a probable threshold (FASB). The drawback has been recognized during the financial crisis and regulators across the globe could perceive the need to bridge the gap between credit loss incurred and loss provided for in financial statements. To tide over, IASB and FASB started working together on new credit impairment guidelines, but the collaboration ended in 2012. Now, the two organizations have their respective guidelines on expected credit loss. While both lay stress on ECL, each suggests a different methodology for calculating it.

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    nivezastock New Member

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    Multibagger Stock Ideas- Market Positive on Global Cues ::

    Indian economic expansion for the first quarter ending June 2016 came at 7.1% down from 7.9% reported in prior quarter and 7.5% increase in Q1 June 2015. Another data showed the index of eight core infrastructure sector rose 3.2% in July 2016 over July 2015, while its cumulative growth stood at 4.9% in April to July 2016. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said that for the country as a whole, cumulative rainfall during this year's monsoon so far (till 1 September 2016) was 2% below the long period average (LPA). The outcome of the monthly survey on India's services sector, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictate market trend in the truncated trading week ahead. India's stock market remains closed on Monday, 5 September 2016 on account of Ganesh Chaturthi.

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    nivezastock New Member

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    Massive Gains From Micro And Small-Cap Stocks & Reveals Technique For Finding Multibagger Stocks :

    Speciality chemicals and NBFC's are the main reasons behind the super performance of the fund over the last 2 years. Most of the chemicals stocks and NBFC's have given phenomenal returns over the period. Overall demand for chemicals and reduced crude prices were the major drivers behind the same. From here also both chemicals and NBFC's will do well over the next 2-3 years. Stocks from NBFC space such as Dewan Housing, Magma Fincorp are still undervalued compared to other NBFC's and investors with 2-3 years time horizon can buy it on any declines. From chemicals sector stocks such as NOCIL, SRF, Tata Chemicals are good and on any good decline can be entered into for next 2 years holding.

    From Infra space Jkumar Infra and MBL are good bets and investors can look into them as well for 2 years holding duration.

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    nivezastock New Member

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    Market monitoring U.S. Fed meet -

    Industrial production for the month of July 2016 saw degrowth of 2.4% compared to corresponding period year before mainly on account of weakness in manufacturing and contraction in capital goods production. Cumulative industrial production in the four months of the current fiscal degrew by 0.2% which is the lowest in the last four years. On the inflation front, retail inflation for the month of August came at 5.05% from 6.07% reported in prior month primarily on account of fall in the easing food prices especially vegetables. Market participants would be keeping close vigil on the two major central banks meeting i.e. U.S. Federal Reserve & Bank of Japan (BoJ) which could guide the market's direction. On the one hand, interest rate hike fears by U.S. Fed have receded but still the statement by the Fed would be closely watched. On the BoJ meeting front, the markets are absolutely directionless in terms of what is in the offing which may include anything from a rate cut deeper into negative territory or scale back of ultra easy monetary policy.

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    nivezastock New Member

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    #Nivezareview - High-profile exits from Infosys, MindTree and Jubilant Foodworks

    Jubilant Food is struggling to make good profits from last 3-4 years, though number of stores have gone up over the years, the same store sales growth and overall profitability is declining over the period and still stock trades at commanding valuations of 50 time PE multiples which is really unjustified for the stock. Investors should stay away from from such a stock as of now.

    Mindtree after a recent stock price crash is now available at a descent price and valuation and hence stocks such as Infy and Mindtree long term investors can look to buy gradually from current levels.

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    #Nivezareview - As more people buy dairy products, more investors bet on these stocks :

    As a long term view one can look at Dairy stocks because there is continuous growing demand in India for Dairy and related products with income levels are increasing consumption of branded Dairy items will keep growing in the country over the next decade and these stocks can give consistent returns to the investors over the years. Parag Milk foods, Prabhat Dairy are some of the well placed stocks at the moment and can be bought on any declines with a long term view.
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    Profit booking dragged the street down :

    Telecom stocks were in focus as the Department of Telecom started two-day mock auction that will end on September 27. Seven companies have deposited Rs 14,653 crore and the government is looking to mop up around Rs 1.46 lakh crore through the spectrum auction that will actually begin on October 1. Idea Cellular fell over 2 percent. Morgan Stanley has slashed target price of the stock to Rs 70 from Rs 89 earlier as it believes the share price will fall relative to the country index over the next 60 days. This is because of lowered forecast/guidance, it says. Auto component maker GNA Axles closed at Rs 245.05 on day 1, up 18.5 percent over issue price of Rs 207. Marksans Pharma shares surged 10.8 percent on approval from the US health regulator for antihistamine drug Loratadine liquid filled capsules 10 mg. Kilitch Drugs was locked at 20 percent upper circuit after Ethiopia government allotted land to its subsidiary for setting up pharma unit.



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    #Multibaggerstockpicks -Remain overweight on India; HDFC, Maruti, ACC top ideas

    Considering the current market situation and the up coming events, market is expected to deliver better returns in the coming time. Stocks like Maruti Suzuki which are the market leaders can perform good. Fundamentals are stable and progressive for the company and volume is always associated with the stock . Long term story could be better.
     
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    #Nivezareview on Rakesh Jhunjhunwala bade for Rs 750 cr ICICI Pru shares, got stocks worth Rs 27 crore only -

    How the system would know that you are an ace investor from India. System gives the stocks proportionately to every investor. And same thing would have been in the case of other investors as well but the bet by Mr. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala was really huge and he got few percent of his bet. The stock is marginally over valued but considering the monopoly, long term story could be intact.

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    #Nivezareview - Equitas bets on better margins on cheaper cost of borrowing

    At the time of listing Equitas Holdings was very cheap as far as valuation was concerned. Since the time, stock has gained better momentum as what was expected by the street and still after some profit booking stock is looking stronger again. Wholesale borrowing costs are getting lower quarter after quarter which ultimately enhanced the margins for the stock. Current levels are looking much stronger for fresh buying as well.


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    #Multibaggerstolckideas - Bears kept nerve on last closing day:

    Tug of war ended on bear side. The Sensex dragged by 114.77 points to 28106.21 while the Nifty lost 34.4 points to 8709.55. GAIL gained 3.51 per cent to 414.45. Grasim, Reliance, HUL, Bharti Infratel were among the gainers. Bank of Baroda lost 2.92 per cent to 164.5. NTPC, Cipla, Zee Entertainment, Power Grid Corp were among the losers.

    State-owned UCO Bank today said it will sell 7.17 crore shares to LIC on a preferential basis, which may fetch about Rs 270 crore to the bank. The board of the bank at its meeting has approved a proposal for issue of 7.17 crore shares of Rs 10 each to Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) on a preferential basis at a price to be determined in accordance with Sebi regulation, UCO Bank said in a statement. With the preferential share allotment, LIC stake in the bank will increase by 5.5 percent. Currently, insurance companies, including LIC, holds 12.02 percent stake in the bank.

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    Stock Market news-Indian Ports Fortunes

    Market size

    India’s 12 major ports handled a combined volume of 1.39 million 20-foot-equivalent units during April to May 2016. During April-December 2015, the Average Turnaround Time (ATT) had reduced to 2.12 days from 2.30 days a year ago, whereas the average pre-berthing time had fell to 3.97 hours from 5.55 hours.

    The capacity of all the major ports as on January 31, 2016 was 892.92 MMT vs 871.52 MMT as on March 31, 2015. Additionally, the government has taken several measures to improve operational efficiency through mechanisation, deepening the draft and speedy evacuations.In FY 2015-16, the Indian Port sector witnessed capacity addition of 94 Million Tonnes Per Annum (MTPA), which is the highest in the history of major ports.The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), Ministry of Commerce and Industry, reported that the Indian ports sector received FDI worth US$ 1.64 billion between April 2000 and March 2016.

    There are about 44 ongoing projects undertaken at major ports in India, with total investment of over Rs 25,870 crore (US$ 3.8 billion).

    Investments/Developments

    The Indian Minister for Shipping, Road Transport and Highways, Mr Nitin Gadkari, announced a massive investment in India’s ports and roads sector, which is likely to help boost the country’s economy. The Indian government plans to develop 10 coastal economic regions as part of plans to revive the country’s Sagarmala (string of ports) project. The zones would be converted into manufacturing hubs, supported by port modernisation projects, and could span 300–500 km of the coastline. The government is also looking to develop the inland waterway sector as an alternative to road and rail routes to transport goods to the nation’s ports and hopes to attract private investment in the sector.

    •Inland Waterways Authority of India (IWAI) and India Ports Global Private Limited (IPGPL) have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for implementation of three additional works worth Rs 476 crore (US$ 70.56 million) in the Kaladan Multimodal Transit Transport Project (KMTTP) in Myanmar.

    •The India Ports Global Pvt Ltd plans to set up a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) in Iran with participation from private Iranian and Indian firms to develop and operate the Chabahar port.

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    #Deewalioffer - More RBI rate cuts seen:

    When the retail inflation for September was on 13 month lower side with the stable CPI index, rate cute was a bit surprising more for majority of the experts. As in the December policy, U.S. Fed could give rate hike as well. After second one on one debate, Hillary Clinton is looking much stronger. This can trigger Indian market where we can find more stability after some geopolitical worries.
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    #Deewalioffer -PNB Housing Finance's Rs 2,500 cr IPO to hit markets in Nov :

    Most of the NBFC's are housing finance companies are doing well in the current time. Housing demand is increasing in India and overall interest rates are also declining. Among the other loans, housing loans tends to be safe because they are backed by the house as a mortgage. So companies involved in housing finance business are definitely a good long term investment bets. PNB Finance all pricing details etc are not yet available, but looking at overall sector it can turn out to be a good investment option for the investors.
    Contact us for full news about #DeewaliOffer.
     
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    #Stockmarkettips -GST rate for fast moving consumer goods :

    Well said by Mr. Harish Mariwala. No doubt considering the FMCG sector or lets talk about other sectors which are already paying more than 22% which welcome the rate and even next 26% slab as well. Government is really doing well as insteady of engaging in 40% slab, 6% and 26% slabs could be introduced. This surely will give some ease and could enhance the margins as well. Luxury products could be on higher side but should not hurt for tax payee. Government is adding better cushion on earlier tax rates.
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    Stock market tips- Maruti Suzuki hits all-time high :

    Maruti Suzuki is undoubtedly the leader in small car segment in India. Since last many years and especially in last 2-3 years the company has extended its market share in this segment. Around 50-51% market share is enjoyed by the company in this segment. The earnings are growing at a good pace and the stock price has reacted to it and already 40-50% up in last 6 months. it is a typical bluechip with good growth rate kind of a portfolio stock and investors can look to buy it on every good decline with a long term horizon. GST, demand revival in Auto all are upcoming triggers for the stock.

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