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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Discussion in 'Major Currency Pairs' started by WindsorBrokers, Jan 7, 2014.

  1. WindsorBrokers

    WindsorBrokers Content Contributor

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    EURUSD

    The Euro corrects yesterday’s fresh losses that probed below 1.36 handle and so far found support at 1.3570, just ahead of trendline support at 1.3550. Bounce to 1.3650 was capped by 4-hour 20DMA, as the price attempts to stabilize above 1.36 support. Slight positive tone exists on hourly chart, with 4-hour indicators starting to reverse that may be supportive for further recovery action. Bears are on stand-by on lower ADX timeframes, with clearance of initial barriers at 1.3650, yesterday’s high and 1.3664/75, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3817/1.3570 downleg / 02/01 lower high, seen as minimum requirement to spark further recovery. Strong barrier at 1.3720, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement / 20/55DMA’s bearish crossover and broken bull trendline off 1.3294 low, is seen capping upside attempts for now, with fresh bears expected to take control once corrective action is completed. The notion is supported by reversal pattern developed on daily chart, with break below 1.3570, expected to open 1.3525 higher platform / Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, reinforced by daily 100DMA. Conversely, sustained break above 1.3720 would neutralize bears and re-focus upper targets at 1.38 zone.

    Res: 1.3650; 1.3670; 1.3700; 1.3720
    Sup: 1.3600; 1.3570; 1.3525; 1.3500

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    GBPUSD

    Cable maintains negative near-term tone off fresh high at 1.6602, as fresh extension of pullback from here, reached 1.6336 so far, retracing between 61.8% and 76.4% of 1.6212/1.6602 upleg. With corrective bounce being capped for now at 1.6432 by 20/55DMA’s bearish crossover of 4-hour chart, more downside risk could be seen in the near-term, as 4-hour technicals are negative. On hourly chart, however, indicators turned neutral, as the price consolidates, but price action being capped by descending 55DMA. Preferred scenario sees fresh attempt lower, with 1.6336 seen as initial support, ahead of 1.63 zone, higher platform and 76.4% retracement. To avert immediate downside risk, regain of minimum 1.6473, 03/01 lower top / 50% retracement of 1.6602/1.6336 fall, is required.

    Res: 1.6400; 1.6434; 1.6473; 1.6500
    Sup: 1.6380; 1.6336; 1.6300; 1.6254

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    USDJPY

    The pair trades in near-term corrective mode off fresh highs at 105.40, where double-top was formed. Fresh extension below 104 zone, where the pair previously found footstep, also marking 38.2% retracement of 101.60/105.43 upleg and bull trendline off 101.60, signals further weakness. The notion is supported by negative near-term technicals, with corrective bounce off fresh low at 103.90, so far being capped by bear-trendline off 105.43 peak at 104.60. This is seen as ideal lower top fort fresh attempt lower, with break below 103.90, expected to open 103.50, 50% retracement of 101.60/105.43 and 103.06, Fibonacci 61.8%, in extension. Conversely, extended corrective rally above 104.60, would delay bears, however, only break above 105 barrier is required to neutralize.


    Res: 104.60; 104.83; 104.94; 105.43
    Sup: 104.17; 103.90; 103.52; 103.06

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    AUDUSD

    The pair lost traction after upside rejection at 0.9000 barrier extended pullback below initial support and consolidation floor at 0.8935, with dips coming close to psychological 0.8900 support, also Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.8842/0.9003 upleg. Hourly studies are negative, with 4-hour price action losing momentum that keeps the downside vulnerable for now. Loss of 0.8900 handle to confirm bears in play for retest of downside targets at 0.8842 and 0.8819. Alternatively, Fresh strength above initial barrier and former consolidation top at 0.8975, would re-focus 0.9000 break point, also 50% retracement of 0.9165/0.8819 descend, for possible resumption of near-term recovery phase.

    Res: 0.8935; 0.8975; 0.9000; 0.9033
    Sup: 0.8900; 0.8880; 0.8842; 0.8819

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