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Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

Discussion in 'Major Currency Pairs' started by WindsorBrokers, Feb 5, 2014.

  1. WindsorBrokers

    WindsorBrokers Content Contributor

    Feb 18, 2010
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    The Euro is unchanged and moves within narrow consolidative range of 1.3490 and 1.3535, with hourly studies in neutral mode. Overall negative tone, however, keeps the downside at pressure, as corrective attempt from 1.3475 low is so far capped by falling 4-hour 20SMA, keeping more significant barriers at 1.3580 and 1.3600 intact for now. Fresh weakness below 1.3500/1.3475 supports to open 1.3457, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.2754/1.3892 then 1.3435, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.3294/1.3738 upleg and psychological / higher platform support at 1.3400 in extension. On the upside, break above pivotal 1.3600 resistance zone, 50% retracement of 1.3738/1.3475 / daily Ichimoku cloud base, would provide relief.

    Res: 1.3540; 1.3572; 1.3600; 1.3638
    Sup: 1.3492; 1.3475; 1.3457; 1.3435



    Cable rides on the fourth, corrective wave, as a part of larger downtrend from 1.6668, 24 Jan peak, after the third wave extended below its 161.8% expansion and ended at 1.6255. The fourth wave could travel to 1.6400 barrier, where gains should be ideally capped, with the fifth wave expected to extend towards 1.6200/1.6150 zone, where daily cloud base and Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.5853/1.6668, offer supports. Only break above 1.6400 barrier would delay bears and allow for stronger recovery towards 1.6440/80 barriers.

    Res: 1.6343; 1.6400; 1.6440; 1.6500
    Sup: 1.6289; 1.6255; 1.6236; 1.6215



    The pair enters near-term corrective mode after finding good support at 100.74, with corrective rally being capped by previous low at 101.75, also hourly 55SMA. With hourly studies losing traction and 4-hour technicals maintaining negative tone, upside attempts are seen limited and downside risk remains in play. Violation of initial 101 support is expected to open hourly double-bottom at 100.74, loss of which to resume broader bears off 105.43 and expose psychological 100 support, reinforced by 50% retracement of 96.55/105.43 rally and 200SMA. Only break above psychological 102 barrier and 102.50, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, would delay bears.

    Res: 101.75; 102.00; 102.50; 102.92
    Sup: 101.00; 100.74; 100.42; 100.00



    The pair trades in near-term consolidative phase, after fresh bulls were triggered on a break above one week congestion tops at 0.8820 zone, with acceleration through important barrier at 0.8886, 22 Jan lower top and psychological 0.89 barrier, posting fresh 3-week high at 0.8940. The pullback off 0.8940 was so far contained by daily Kijun-sen line at 0.8870 that marks consolidation floor, however, weakening hourly studies cannot rule out further easing. Next support lies at 0.8859, Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.8729/0.8940 upleg and 0.8835, 50% retracement, with dips expected to hold above previous congestion tops at 0.8820 zone, to keep fresh bulls in play. Extension of the uptrend through temporary cap at 0.8940 is expected to focus 0.9000, psychological resistance / 03 Jan high and key barrier at 0.9084, 13 Jan peak, in extension.

    Res: 0.8906; 0.8940; 0.8983; 0.9000
    Sup: 0.8870; 0.8859; 0.8824; 0.8800


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